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Suitability of modelled and remotely sensed essential climate variables for monitoring Euro-Mediterranean droughts

机译:模拟和遥感基本气候变量对监测欧洲-地中海干旱的适用性

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摘要

Two new remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI) and surface soil moisture (SSM) satellite-derived products are compared with two sets of simulations of the ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamic EcosystEms (ORCHIDEE) and Interactions between Soil, Biosphere and Atmosphere, CO2-reactive (ISBA-A-gs) land surface models.[br/]We analyse the interannual variability over the period 1991-2008. The leaf onset and the length of the vegetation growing period (LGP) are derived from both the satellite-derived LAI and modelled LAI. The LGP values produced by the photosynthesis-driven phenology model of ISBA-A-gs are closer to the satellite-derived LAI and LGP than those produced by ORCHIDEE. In the latter, the phenology is based on a growing degree day model for leaf onset, and on both climatic conditions and leaf life span for senescence. Further, the interannual variability of LAI is better captured by ISBA-A-gs than by ORCHIDEE.[br/]In order to investigate how recent droughts affected vegetation over the Euro-Mediterranean area, a case study addressing the summer 2003 drought is presented. It shows a relatively good agreement of the modelled LAI anomalies with the observations, but the two models underestimate plant regrowth in the autumn. A better representation of the root-zone soil moisture profile could improve the simulations of both models. The satellite-derived SSM is compared with SSM simulations of ISBA-A-gs only, as ORCHIDEE has no explicit representation of SSM.[br/]Overall, the ISBA-A-gs simulations of SSM agree well with the satellite-derived SSM and are used to detect regions where the satellite-derived product could be improved.[br/]Finally, a correspondence is found between the interannual variability of detrended SSM and LAI. The predictability of LAI is less pronounced using remote sensing observations than using simulated variables. However, consistent results are found in July for the croplands of the Ukraine and southern Russia.
机译:比较了两种新的遥感叶面积指数(LAI)和地表土壤水分(SSM)卫星衍生产品,以及两组模拟动态生态系统中的组织碳和水文学(ORCHIDEE)以及土壤,生物圈和大气之间的相互作用(二氧化碳)的两组模拟结果。 -反应性(ISBA-A-gs)地表模型。[br /]我们分析了1991-2008年期间的年际变化。叶片生长期和植被生长期的长度(LGP)都来自于卫星衍生的LAI和模拟的LAI。 ISBA-A-gs的光合作用物候模型产生的LGP值比ORCHIDEE产生的LGP值更接近于卫星衍生的LAI和LGP。在后者中,物候学基于叶片发作的生长日模型,以及气候条件和叶片衰老的衰老。此外,ISBA-A-gs较ORCHIDEE更好地捕获了LAI的年际变化。[br /]为了研究近期干旱如何影响欧洲地中海地区的植被,本文以2003年夏季干旱为例进行了研究。 。它显示了模拟的LAI异常与观测值的相对较好的一致性,但是两个模型都低估了秋季的植物再生长。更好地表示根区土壤水分剖面可以改善两个模型的模拟。仅将卫星衍生的SSM与ISBA-A-gs的SSM模拟进行比较,因为ORCHIDEE没有SSM的明确表示。[总而言之,SSM的ISBA-A-gs模拟与卫星衍生的SSM非常吻合最后,在去趋势化的SSM和LAI的年际变化之间找到了对应关系。使用遥感观测比使用模拟变量,LAI的可预测性不太明显。但是,7月份在乌克兰和俄罗斯南部的农田中发现了一致的结果。

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